XRP Price Prediction: Analysts See 30% Upside as SEC Case Nears Conclusion

With the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple approaching a potential resolution, analysts are eyeing a 30% rally in XRP’s price. Trading around $0.85 on June 10, XRP could test next resistance levels near $1.10 by Q3 2025 if favorable legal outcomes materialize.
SEC Case Update
On June 7, the U.S. District Court denied the SEC’s motion for summary judgment on certain XRP sale counts, providing Ripple with a partial victory. Legal strategist Sarah Lin notes, “The ruling clarifies XRP’s status in certain contexts, boosting confidence in token holders.”
Market Overview
XRP has outperformed many large-cap altcoins, gaining 18% in the past month compared to Ethereum’s 12% and Bitcoin’s 7%. Daily volume on major exchanges averages $1.5 billion, indicating robust liquidity amid this legal-driven rally.
Technical Analysis
Chart patterns reveal a bullish ascending triangle on the daily timeframe, with support anchored near $0.80. A decisive breakout above $0.90 could trigger buy stops, propelling XRP toward the $1.10–$1.15 zone, representing the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the February–May decline.
Price Projection
Wall Street research teams from ARK Invest and Standard Chartered both forecast XRP hitting $1.10 by September 2025—a 30% upside. Their models weigh improved on-chain activity (up 25% on the XRP Ledger) and narrowing spreads in arbitration markets.
Key Risks
- SEC Appeal: The Commission may appeal federal rulings, prolonging legal overhang.
- Macro Volatility: Broad market swings can negate short-term altcoin rallies.
- Lock-up Expirations: Ripple’s escrow releases 1 billion XRP in Q4, potentially adding selling pressure.