Ethereum Price Prediction: Analysts See 30% Upside as SEC Case Nears Conclusion

As the SEC’s landmark case approaches a decisive hearing on June 10, major research firms now predict Ethereum (ETH) could climb by 30%, eyeing the $5,500 level by Q4 2025. Trading at $4,200 on June 10, ETH reflects both legal clarity hopes and robust on-chain growth.

SEC Case Update

The SEC’s suit alleges ETH qualifies as a security under the Howey test due to developer oversight. On June 4, a judge ruled that everyday ETH transactions on the public PoS chain are not securities. While the SEC has signaled an intent to appeal, the ruling removed a major hurdle, prompting renewed institutional interest in ETH spot ETFs.

Market Outlook

ETH has outpaced BTC, gaining 18% in the last month versus Bitcoin’s 12%. Net inflows into spot Ethereum ETF products reached $850 million in May, according to Bloomberg, underscoring strong allocation trends among institutional investors.

Technical Drivers

Chartists highlight a breakout above the 200-day EMA at $4,000 as a pivotal moment, supported by a rising RSI near 62—indicating healthy momentum. The next resistance cluster sits at $4,600, with a clear path to $5,000 if volume sustains above $15 billion daily.

Fundamental Catalysts

• Staking Metrics: Over 25 million ETH is locked in staking contracts, removing 21% of supply from circulation.
• DeFi Growth: Total value locked (TVL) on Ethereum eclipsed $120 billion, driven by Uniswap V4 and Lido expansions.
• Developer Activity: GitHub commits on Ethereum repositories surged 24% QoQ.

Price Projection

Synthesizing legal, technical, and fundamental factors, ARK Invest’s model forecasts a 30% rise to $5,500 by December 2025. A more aggressive scenario from Delphi Digital projects a $6,000 rally if ETF approvals accelerate and on-chain usage expands.